Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.020744 0.022263 0.023844 0.025612 0.027537 0.029572 0.031888
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.017926 0.020075 0.022426 0.025195 0.028378 0.031932 0.036218
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016161 0.018683 0.021548 0.025057 0.029263 0.034168 0.040359
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014732 0.017466 0.020666 0.024711 0.029728 0.035790 0.043742
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.013788 0.016704 0.020206 0.024759 0.030575 0.037829 0.047678
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012833 0.015836 0.019523 0.024432 0.030867 0.039119 0.050670
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.011950 0.014986 0.018787 0.023953 0.030886 0.040001 0.053115
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011284 0.014364 0.018290 0.023732 0.031195 0.041241 0.056082
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.010689 0.013793 0.017815 0.023494 0.031440 0.042375 0.058933
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010055 0.013134 0.017182 0.022989 0.031266 0.042883 0.060879
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009742 0.012885 0.017083 0.023208 0.032106 0.044862 0.065104
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009369 0.012535 0.016821 0.023173 0.032564 0.046292 0.068570
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009116 0.012340 0.016769 0.023439 0.033482 0.048468 0.073374
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008710 0.011912 0.016365 0.023167 0.033575 0.049388 0.076228
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008387 0.011585 0.016089 0.023065 0.033911 0.050692 0.079784
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008026 0.011189 0.015693 0.022756 0.033902 0.051434 0.082434
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.007791 0.010963 0.015535 0.022800 0.034443 0.053081 0.086733
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007478 0.010610 0.015171 0.022504 0.034415 0.053784 0.089413
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007148 0.010220 0.014734 0.022070 0.034136 0.054043 0.091303
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006899 0.009940 0.014452 0.021868 0.034227 0.054924 0.094374
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006660 0.009668 0.014171 0.021652 0.034277 0.055729 0.097350
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006376 0.009316 0.013754 0.021194 0.033890 0.055741 0.098808
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.006262 0.009223 0.013737 0.021393 0.034637 0.057802 0.104366